NHL 2004 Playoff Preview
Here we are, playoff time again. I love hockey and thought I'd write my predictions and thoughts on the first round of the NHL playoffs. I hope you find this of some interest.
Western Conference
--Detroit Red Wings (#1) vs. Nashville Predators (#8)
Nashville has just had its best season ever, and they get rewarded with a playoff birth, and facing Detroit in round one. Good job. Last year Detroit was upset in a major way by getting swept by the Ducks. The Predators are hoping lightning can strike twice in consecutive playoff years. I don’t think that’ll happen for a number of reasons. First, Detroit is a team of veterans and hold a ton of playoff experience. Who on Nashville is a proven playoff performer? Second, the Red Wings remember last year. They will not let that happen again. The sting of last year’s defeat will motivate this club. The only problem with Detroit is their goaltending. CuJo hasn’t played in a while and if he falters even a bit I wouldn’t be surprised to see Detroit go to Legace.
DETROIT in 5
--San Jose (#2) vs. St. Louis (#7)
It has been a year of ups and downs for St. Louis. By the end of December they were challenging for the President’s Trophy. By the end of the season they were fighting just to get into the playoffs. It cost Joel Quenneville his job. San Jose on the other hand quietly put together a solid season going from a horrible season last year to being second best in their conference. In the end, one thing wins playoff games. Goaltending. Osgood has won a Stanley Cup while Nabokov hasn’t but only a fool would give Osgood the nod over Nabokov to start.
SAN JOSE in 4
--Vancouver Canucks (#3) vs. Calgary (#6)
This will be the series to watch. Vancouver showed how much they missed Bertuzzi by going 6-0 in their last 6 games to take away the division trophy from the Avs. Calgary had a solid season mainly because of Kiprusoff. The Canucks before losing Bertuzzi would’ve had their hands full with Calgary, but without I foresee Calgary pulling a major upset. Bold prediction: Kiprusoff will be this year’s Giguere.
CALGARY in 6
--Colorado Avalanche (#4) vs. Dallas Stars (#5)
What a matchup. This is almost too close to call. Colorado signed Kariya and Selanne this off season to help their playoff odds and ironically Kariya is injured and Selanne has been a non-factor all year. Dallas’ Mike Modano hasn’t played well all year so a series like this is exactly what he needs to redeem himself. There’s only one thing riding on this series, Peter Forsberg. If Forsberg is healthy, Colorado will win. If not, Dallas takes it.
COLORADO in 7
Eastern Conference
--Tampa Bay Lightning (#1) vs. New York Islanders (#8)
Tampa has surprised everyone this year. Who would’ve imagined them challenging for the President’s trophy? Of course, the playoffs are a whole different season. The Islanders once again squeezed into the playoffs on the last few days of the season as the 8th seed. The Islanders hold an advantage in the season series winning three of the four games but this April will be no different than the past, especially with the absence of spark-plug Jason Blake. One and done for the Isles.
TAMPA BAY in 4
--Boston Bruins (#2) vs. Montreal Canadiens (#7)
An Original 6 matchup is always nice to see in the playoffs. Boston has always had solid seasons in the past and managed to choke it away in the playoffs. The Canadiens had a bad year last year on the heels of Theodore’s Hart/Vezina season. Montreal will benefit greatly from Sheldon Souray, who should be up for the Norris Trophy. Boston will suffer greatly from Thornton’s absence. With that said, it will be an intense match-up. The goaltending is about even, Theodore compared to rookie sensation Raycroft. Defense is even, Goncharr and Souray will basically cancel each other out offensively. Offense, with Boston’s Thornton missing, is about even too. Too close to call. In the end, the ghosts of Montreal will rise up to help Montreal win a thrilling triple OT Game 7 to advance.
MONTREAL in 7
--Philadelphia Flyers (#3) vs. New Jersey Devils (#6)
Though the rankings are so far apart, the teams are seperated by only a single point. Philadelphia’s goalie-go-round seemed to have landed on Esche to start the playoffs but two losses will immediately give Burke a chance. New Jersey’s play has been spotty as of late but it comes down to one thing. New Jersey has Brodeur and Philadelphia doesn’t. NJ will hurt without Stevens, but Brodeur is fully capable of standing on his head to keep New Jersey in the game. He can and will contain Philadelphia’s potent offense and timely scoring from people other than Gomez and Elias will help the Devils win and continue their defense of the Stanley Cup.
NEW JERSEY in 6
--Toronto Maple Leafs (#4) vs. Ottawa Senators (#5)
This will be the series of the playoffs. The winner of this series will profoundly affect the landscape of the Eastern Conference. It’s almost too tough to call. Ottawa seems almost like a throwback to the run and gun style of the Oiler’s and can score at any time. The yare bolstered by a strong defensive core, especially the imposing Chara. Toronto helped itself out immensely at the deadline acquiring Leetch (1 Stanley Cup, 1 Conn Smythe Trophy) and Ron Francis (2 Stanley Cups). Toronto can score too. The main question again comes down to goaltending. Belfour is proven while Lalime isn’t. Lalime has the pressure of an alright year on his back but Belfour carries the burden of an entire city waiting to bring the Cup back to Toronto for the first time in 36 years. In the end, it’ll be the closest series, probably no game being decided by more than two goals. This goes the full monty, but in the end, the oldest and most experienced team in the league will eke one out .
TORONTO in 7
Those are my round one predictions. I will be back with round two (conference semi-finals) predictions later this week. Expect a review of some sort up tomorrow. :-).